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FOX Business
Dec 27, 2012 12:00am EST
if the economy goes over the fiscal cliff even the fed itself does not have you have enough tools to go over against the impact. in terms of lack of investment and in terms of businesses closing their doors and remaining sidelined still for quarters going into 2013. adam: well, lindsey, you again are an economist. which is worse, the spending cut from the sequestration or the tax increase? which hits us, 310 million of us are american citizens. which hits us worse? >> well generally when we talk about the difference between spending cuts or tax increases you have to think of taxes as having 1 1/2 times the impact because what that does, there is a trickle down, in fact. we pull out the dollars from investment that would otherwise go to growing businesses investing in equipment, capital and additional employees. right now that is the biggest impact we're not seeing businesses expand and absorbing out that additional labor supply sitting stagnant on the market right now. that is the biggest implication. that is not what we're going to see. adam: james, if i'm hearing her correctly the tax incr
FOX Business
Dec 24, 2012 9:20am EST
with the fiscal cliff, we're not talking growing the economy, how do you split up the economy getting the tax revenue and the same thing with the longshoreman strike. which is probably going to happen they say there's absolutely no negotiation on this, they absolutely want to see more money coming to them and the other side absolutely no way in the world so that's going to take us from maine all the way down to texas much bigger than the strike we had on the west coast ten years ago. >> now, the president usually sides with the unions, we all know that, but in this case, a strike that really could have devastating consequences on the economy, particularly in the middle of the fiscal cliff negotiations. do you think the president might be more even-handed here dealing with the unions? >> well, i really don't know. you never know what this president is going to say and what policies are going to come out, but the longshoremen is an influential union. to see him go on the other side of it would be surprising, probably take a step back and not intervene too much. so, you know, it's a look and see
FOX Business
Dec 28, 2012 11:00am EST
the response is out of washington with the fiscal cliff it is going to slow the economy next year. raising of taxes, cutting down of government spending will decrease economic growth, gdp growth which calculations -- shibani: we're predicting a slowdown but predicting a rise in currency in u.s. dollar. how does that -- >> good question. for safety. the bond market everyone is bearish on the bond market because interest rates should go up but in all reality the commercials have positioned themselves for short-term move down which we had. going back to neutral again and the open interest which is how many contracts are exposed to this trend or hedge are at the lowest level in years. usually you will get higher open interest of the market is going to move in the direction lower and the bond market is signaling that things are not going to be worked out and the economy will slow down the u.s. currency strengthens when there is nervousness around world which relates to the stock market going down. byy the fiscal cliff, the debt ceiling -- shibani: the fiscal cliff -- >> cash is king. next you m
FOX Business
Dec 25, 2012 5:00pm EST
are going up. the economy is slow. we may or may not go over the fiscal cliff but regardless the economy is stalled and taxes are going up. there is certainty but not just great certainty. >> as a family-owned business after 91 years of being in business we know there's a business cycle. what we need to continue to advocate for as job creators is the virtue of free enterprise. we need to stand up for the principles that are going to allow us to provide our people employment and create prosperity and we have to be able to do that in a unified way because even though the forecast can look bleak at different times we have an incredibly resilient economy and great job creators out there who just given the chance will make a big difference. that is what we have to continue working on. melissa: but, jim, aren't you afraid of being punished either by the public or by the government for speaking out at this point? i mean i have talked privately to people on wall street who have said, you know, they feel like they get pistol-whipped when they say anything against the administration. that it comes
FOX Business
Dec 28, 2012 3:00pm EST
a meeting, a last ditch effort to try to help the economy avoid the fiscal cliff, or at least pieces of it, and, yes, the buzz around washington is a possible path forward that aids describe as preventing tax increase for income amounts of $400,000 or $500,000 or so, extend unemployment insurance, but, still, nothing has been agreed to. all in washington are waiting to see how this meeting goes. it's just about to start here in dc. meanwhile, on capital hill, the fighting continues, and in some corners, a sense of pessimism. >> if we don't have a deal within the next 24 hours, the question is where do you buy a parachute? we'll be going over the cliff because the closer we get to the end, the less likely it is you can compress an agreement into place that will have enough votes to pass. >> this is basically it. the first time in weeks the top democrat, the top republican from the house and senate have gotten together here at the white house with the president and vice president, congressional leaders arriving, and the meeting should be starting shortly. back to you. ashley: we'll see what
FOX Business
Dec 27, 2012 6:00pm EST
in the fiscal cliff if the tax increases and spending cuts come into effect would be bad for the economy and would really hurt housing demand. even if the fiscal cliff is solved, less damaging ways to resolve the fiscal cliff, the housing market still might be affected if the mortgage interest deduction is cut back severely. right now the mortgage interest deduction cost the government roughly $100 billion per year in revenue and getting rid of that would likely increase home values particularly in more expensive areas. gerri: rehear it would put the brakes on selling and home buying in those areas. what are the issues for you? you know all the issues and housing, what are you looking for next year? >> three things have been really important, the first is the inventories of homes for sale are down sharply. that is great news for home sellers because there is less competition. bad news for buyers. demand is also up, rising rent, rising prices, both of those will get urgency. the growth hasn't been great but it has been enough to get people off the fence, people feel more secure so demand
FOX Business
Dec 24, 2012 10:00am EST
? >> well, it's funny how we talk about the fiscal cliff and we ignore the fact that our economy is no better off than we really were say even two years ago. for the fed to come in with 6 1/2% unemployment rate in their last meeting. it would take four to five years of 200,000 jobs per month. we are going to be nowhere near that. these politicians are using that at some sort of leverage to get what they want. we can't afford to have any trip-ups. david: i agree with you, we should be growing at 3, 4 percent not this anemic rate we're growing at, we won't be able to regain what we have lost for a long time. if we go off with the fiscal cliff, will we immediately go into a recession? >> i will go one step further, yes. i think we absolutely go into recession. that would knock between 2 and 4 percent off our gdp right away. this is the doomsday scenario, but that ten year rate now is 1.75ish. a lot of folks are calling it to 2, 2 1/2, maybe evenn3 because they are looking through rose colored lenses that i don't have. i think we could see that rate under 1% before it gets up to 2 1/
FOX Business
Dec 26, 2012 8:00pm EST
list again? ho ho ho! >> forget the fiscal cliff. eric: forget the fiscal cliff, what about a container cliff and what that might do to the economy. a a nasty standoff between union workers and the companies could cripple the nation. unless two groups reach a deal, theyun planted strike down plano strike this weekend.if if the strike happened, some reports estimate for a billion dollars per day. >> there's no question, use the righte words, cripple the economy. the backbone of the trade on the export and import, eric. about $100 billion or more comes in and out where you have to have these strikes. co it is very devastating and could reverberate throughout thees country. food distributors, everybody would be affected by this strike if it goesrd forward. eric: what do the unions want and what is management willing to do, how far apart are these two groups? >> normally in a dispute with the unions it is about wages and benefits in this case it is not. what the unions are objecting to with reports i have been seeingu is new work rules andort deficiencies that support systems want to put i
FOX Business
Dec 24, 2012 5:00pm EST
season with guarded expectations owing to the fiscal cliff and the general condition of the economy and people did come out and did buy the stuff. might not be as much as, prices might not be as high as retailers hoped but stuff will clear and probably have a pretty good final couple of days. so it is kind of a b-minus holiday season but, considering the kind of circumstances we're in, that's okay. melissa: yeah. there are people out there blaming the fiscal cliff. that seems ridiculous for, how could the fiscal cliff prevent you from going out to spend money on holiday shopping? i could see that elsewhere in the economy but seems silly for this particular comparison? >> think that is correct. people are, that is something in the future. that affected business spending but not consumers. consumer spending has been slower since the middle of the year. that was evident in the third quarter gdp report. it has been evident in the retail sales we tracked from month to month. simply wages haven't grown rapidly enough and the housing market although it has recovered, let's remember it reco
FOX Business
Dec 26, 2012 1:00pm EST
, jeff. >> as we avoid the fiscal cliff and the economy picks up, and big ifs, which industries stand to add the most job? rick newman is here for u.s. news and world report. rick, nice to meet you. >> hi, how are you doing? >> you gave us a list, and interesting to pull out the theme. social networking sites, video game publishing, online payment, definitely a theme here where the growth is at. >> heard this the last couple years, obviously, it's digital, digital, digital, and real estate on the list as well. social networking. it's not a 235d, but -- a fad, but here to stay, and mobile devices, social networks follows. news sites too, not just facebook and twitter, but pinterest. there's smaller ones, niche sites, but the trends is here to stay. >> sustainable building materials, huh? >> i hate to tell you, but it's growing, and it is growing because state and local governments have new standards, not because of washington, anything happening in washington. it's not a stimulus plan, don't worry, but it's new standards. state and local governments needs buildings to be energy first t
FOX Business
Dec 28, 2012 9:20am EST
off the fiscal cliff kill this one bright spot in the economy which is housing why can't congress make a deal? it had months to compromise and there's nothiig out there. the dow is down 88. copd makes it hard to breathe, but with advair, i'm b. so now i can be in the scene. advair is clinically proven to help significantly improve lung function. unlike most copd medications, advair contains both an anti-inflammatory and a long-acting bronchodilator working together to help improve your lung function all day. advair won't replace fast-acting inhalers for sudden symptoms and shou not be used more than twice a day. people with copd taking advair may have a higher chance of pneumonia. advair may increase yo risk of osteoporosis and some eye problems. tell your doctor if you have a heart condition or high blood pressure before taking advair. if you're still having difficulty breathing, ask your doctor if including advair could help improve your lung function. get your first fu prescription free and saveon refills at advaircopd.com. >> announcer: you never know when, but thieves can steal y
FOX Business
Dec 28, 2012 6:00pm EST
to show for itself after two years. coming up next, how the massive gains in the fiscal cliff could impact your 401k and the economy. stay with us want to know what i did in the last five hours? i played a round of golf. then i read a book while teaching myself how to play guitar; ran ten miles while knitng myself a sweater; jumped out of a plane. finally, i became a ping pong master while recording my debut album. how you ask? with 5-hour energy. i get hours of energy now -- no crash later. wait to see the next five hours. we don't let frequent heartburn come between us and what we love. so if you're one of them people whgets heartburn and then treats day afr day... block the acid with prilosec otc and don't get heartburn in the first place! [ male announcer ] e pill eachmorning. 24 hours. zero heartbur gerri: big tax hikes set to take effect on january 1. what is the most important one to worry about? we will tell you after the break. stay with us gerri: you make it, they take it. 23.8% is the raise that policymakers will see on capital gains. chris edwards joins me now. he is director f
FOX Business
Dec 29, 2012 2:00am EST
next, how the massive gains in the fiscal cliff could impact your 401k and the economy. stay with us gerri: big tax hikes set to t gerri: you make it, they take it. 23.8% is the raise that policymakers will see on capital gains. chris edwards joins me now. he is director for tax policy studies at t cato institute. i would like to show people what we're talking about. he gets confusing for people. we have a current tax rate, 15%. on january 1, the capital gains tax rate will jump to 23.8%. i talked to a lot of my friends and they say that's not a big dumb. what you say? >> it is a big jump. if you add state taxes on top of that, the united states will be up to 20%. our major trading partners, britain and europe and canada -- they are only 16%. so there is a very good reason why just about every industrial country has a really low capital gains tax rate. that's because policymakers just about everywhere know that low capital gains tax rates are crucial for a growth of economy and entrepreneurship and high-technology industries. gerri: so what if we compare favorably with a lot of devel
FOX Business
Dec 28, 2012 1:00pm EST
. this isn't always a good sign about the economy. in the face of the fiscal cliff there is concern about what will happen with taxes and american consumers income in the new year. they're backing off of energy consumption. that is leading to lower prices. for the trading, overall volume is half of its 100 a average. we're seeing light participation in those markets and as of today crude down 8%. we are watching natural-gas prices as whether roles throughout the country. folks are using more natural gas pushing prices up, contrary to crude-oil prices going down, the energy report is daily, but it showed 72 cubic feet draw down in line with expectations but still a very big drawdown pushing prices higher. natural gas prices up 12% so far this year so folks are paying more to heat their homes than the same time last year. adam: thank yoo from the floor of the cme. retail sales of of the worst holiday season in four years. will there be discounts to help retailers close 2012 on a better note? joining us to talk about this is christian bets. may i call you kristy? >> yes you may. adam: a plea
FOX Business
Dec 31, 2012 1:00pm EST
. people have said that economists said concern about the fiscal cliff has already done damage. the economy, according to the cob is certain to fall back into recession and negative growth in the new year. is that higher taxes in a way a death knell for the economy or whole picture, of increased taxes and increased spending and no meaningful deficit reduction? >> we're seeing some effect already. you're seeing that in numbers on consumer confidence, on christmas season spending and business investment in hiring. the higher tacks is not the end of the republic. it is bad for growth. but we can still have a strong economy. but i do think we need to deal with uncertainty of what are taxes going forward. this cliff deal is short-term deal. we need leadership congressman was talking about. i wish it was there i agree with him what we really need going forward. lori: congressman rigell, one last comment from you with regards to confidence in washington of the americans are fed up with the wheeling and dealing in washington and no compromise. is there anything you can say to reinforce our confiden
FOX Business
Dec 28, 2012 4:00pm EST
the fiscal cliff dividend taxes could triple. and that would have a significantly negative impact on our economy's ability to sustain growth. and think about, you know, this idea, this false idea, frankly, that it won't impact anybody that makes less than 250,000 or whatever the cap is you want. >> right. >> our average age of people that own dividend-paying stocks is about 65 years old. their average income is between 70 to $75,000. yeah, they're not subject to the $250,000 but in fact, if you reduce the after tax yield of these kinds of investments that people select because of their low risk and they use the dividends to supplement their retirement income, if you reduce the after tax yield, stock values drop. we have already seen that. david: because of all this breaking news i want to bring you back and i really want to focus you a little more specifically and dividend tax is something you're hot about but i want to talk to you about whether you're getting squeezed. i'm looking at 300 to $400 billion gap the president will have even after the tax increases. i think he will go after y
FOX Business
Dec 27, 2012 3:00pm EST
: what about the fiscal cliff and what that could do to the economy, the consumer and the consumer that would buy hp products, how concerned are you? >> well, that's certainly a short-term negative. and i can't -- i can't forecast what washington is going to do, but i think over the long-term, they've got the stuff to build around that you will see the stock do pretty well. ashley: all right. that's your prediction. we will see how it goes. in 2013 for hewlett-packard, thank you, george putnam, new generation research founder. really appreciate it. thank you. >> you're very welcome. thank you. ashley: all right. closing bell rings in just under 7 minutes. restaurants could face a tough year ahead. but oppenheimer says one restaurant can beat the odds. find out which one is the bright spot for 2013. that's coming up next. ♪ ♪ [ male announcer ] this is karen anjeremiah. they don't know it yet, but they' gonna fall in love, get married, have a couple of kids, [ children laughing ] move to the country, and live a long, happy life together where they almost never fight about money.
FOX Business
Dec 26, 2012 11:00am EST
that the fiscal cliff is disadvantageous to the economy in terms of jobs and taxes but if we know we are going over the cliff that provides policy certainty that allows corporations to act within the certainty of the new tax regime that comes out of it and it will help the deficit. i am speaking anathema but that is certainty. shibani: 70 -- dennis: something wins and the economy could make stocks right at some point. thank you very much, jim laventhol. here's one retail segment that did great. gun, rifle and ammunition sales are skyrocketing following the backlash against guns at the connecticut elementary school. the world's largest supplier of firearms says it sold 3.5 years worth of ammunition clips for automatic weapons in just three days and a gun shop owner north carolina says gun sales for christmas or four times better than last year. many customers blame talk of stricter gun control for driving the rush. unintended consequences. let's look at gun stocks. the images that so smith and wesson, they are down. the middle of their sales are probably up. shibani: one of the most profitable
FOX Business
Dec 27, 2012 10:00pm EST
, but a very traumatic and serious. they avoid the fiscal cliff. we are talking about over $607 billion worth of money taken out of the economy next year. lou: i just want to put up the next cartoon that we have. it matters not whih one you select. but this is one of my favorites. the debt commission saying it is very difficult. is very complicated and then cut spending. i don't think you could have cut better on to the essence of the issue. the absurdity creating obstacles to that relution in washington d.c. >> but the problem here is that frankly there is a fine and out of capital that can be used up their divided either in the private sector which creates businesses and jobs and federal revenue or given to the government which is just a bureaucracy ad creates nothing but burearatic management if you look at the lt gop congress andthe expenditures, about two and half trillion dollars and now the president's proposals are about 4 trillion in spending with deficits and increased. it is the economy. lou: it truly is. and i want to also if we may put up the cartoon. we do this very elegantly he
FOX Business
Dec 24, 2012 1:00pm EST
seems to be mesmerized by the discussion of the fiscal cliff in th and the , check stock prices were based on earnings outlooks in the economy. lori: everybody is ignoring the fundamentals right now. when we can we get back to the fundamentals and ignore politics, if ever a time in the picture? >> maybe the super bowl ads versus the fiscal cliff read lori: you make a great point, carry on. >> some point we will solve the fiscal cliff, kick the can down the road, have a grand bargain, no bargain, but it will be old news, not the current news. david: will be talking with the retail sector coming up, but we are getting a lot of mixed signals of what is happening this holiday season. what are you sensing? speak of the retail sector will perform well, just don't think it will exceed analyst or wall street expectations. i think everything that needed to be done in terms of consumer investment purchasing in the aftermath of sandy took place. on the other hand if you noticed that has not been a lot of promotions from the major retailers past the holiday weekend that kicked off. i believe ret
FOX Business
Dec 26, 2012 4:00pm EST
over the fiscal cliff which means taxes go up for everybody who pays taxes but what else does it mean for you -@and for the economy? the chief of staff on george w. bush council of economic advisors, she thinks we're probably going over because the white house will not stop pushing for higher tax rates, she joins us later this hour. shibani: maybe the texas will be higher in 2013, but prices at the pump will be lower. some good news and some bad news. david: but first we will tell you what drove the market in today's data download. all three major indices closing to the red for the third day in a row. nine of 1 10 s&p sectors ended lower led by consumer discretionary and materials posted gains but they were the only ones out of the nine or 10 sectors. falling compared to the previous month up one year earlier. case-shiller index rising 4.3% compared to year ago. manufacturing utility slowing down, the federal reserve bank using five points from nine in november. numbers above zero indicating expanding activities but there is a slowing trend that has to be watched. shibani: let's take
FOX Business
Dec 26, 2012 11:00pm EST
their way, will everyone pay? >> forget the fiscal cliff. how about a container cliff and what it m do to the economy. time's running short and a standoff between long shoreman union workers and companies could cripple the nation. unless they reach a dea they plan to strike this weekend. we reached out but haven't heard back yet. steve moore is here with us. if th strike happens, some estimates say $1 billion per day hit to the economy. >> yeah, the's no question. if you -- you used the right word, cripple the economy. the ports in this country are the backbone of our trade, both export and imports and i've read estimates of $100 billion or more comes in and out. so it cook devastating, and reverberate throughout the economy. retailers, whesalers. food distributors, everybody would be affected by the strike if it goes forward. >> exactly what do the unions want and what is management willing to do? how far apart arehe two groups? >> it's inresting. they're not really -- normally in a wage dispute with the union,ettes it's about wages and benefits but in this case it's not. what the uni
FOX Business
Dec 31, 2012 9:20am EST
. dead flat, that is sound bite trading. any word of these fiscal cliff discussions, the market will move. housing, a bit of a bright spot in the economy, but if we fall off the cliff, that could end. if lawmakers can't reach a deal nearly every working american will face higher tax rates and we'll deal with both issues next. >> well, we're flat. down four points, all we've got. we're below 13,000 all waiting for any news on fiscal cliff developments. we'll keep you up-to-date. venezuela's president, hugo chavez is suffering new complications from a respiratory infection that just three weeks after undergoing surgery for cancer in cuba. chavez has not been seen or heard from since his fourth cancer related surgery which took place earlier this month. government officials say chavez might not return in time for the inauguration of his new six-year term on january the 10th. okay. check the price of oil, they're not related. the situation concerning hugo chavez is not related to the overall price of oil which this morning is at $90 a barrel, it's down 28 cents. now, one of the bright spots
FOX Business
Dec 26, 2012 9:20am EST
if the economy -- if we go off this fiscal cliff which means we could go into a recession, which means people are going to have to cut back on all kinds of things, one of those things would be their trip to wherever, driving their car, maybe they will take a bus instead, won't that bring down prices a little bit? >> it certainly will if we go over the fiscal cliff, that could send the country into recession. that's the whole fear here is that we do go over the cliff and then yes, gas prices are likely to move lower. they could move substantially lower. but there has been some talk on the front of the fiscal cliff. there's some sort of resolution that will likely be hammered out, and so i don't really foresee us going off the said cliff, but certainly gas prices may be lower in 2013, even if there's some sort of resolution, we may fall in a yearly average somewhere between 2011 and 2012 average, so it may be a bad year but shouldn't be as bad as what we saw this year. liz: patrick, it seems like every two or three years for the last several years, you know, the country goes into a panic attack
FOX Business
Dec 27, 2012 1:00pm EST
are great, so died in. >> the overall economy is doing quite well except we have the fiscal cliff issue. if you look at the employment situation that has stabilized and showing an improvement, you look at what is going on in the united states as far as manufacturing is concerned, housing prices have done well, housing sales of the unwelcome consumers, they still want to spend the being put off by this issue. lori: what sectors of i jump into? >> it will be extremely difficult but what you want to do is concentrate on things like financials, they will see a major rebound once we get some compromise. you will look at energy because we will look at consumer discretion and have exposure to the technology sector. lori: what is the mistake investors are making in the midst of this? >> getting wrapped up with this noise. a deal will come down but if you wait for the bottom to come, a market breaking apart, all hell breaking loose you will miss out because you'll be sitting on the sidelines. do some buying as the market pulls back and don't worry about catching a falling knife. tracy: don't fig
FOX Business
Dec 31, 2012 5:00pm EST
on a holiday evening. let me ask you very quickly. why would the fiscal cliff negotiations push mortgage rates down? i thought that was the federal reserve and all the money they're pumping into this economy? >> well, if they do not come to same kind of a conclusion and get us over this cliff the rates will stay down because people need to borrow. i read a thing today that said it is lower, your payment is lower to purchase a home today for $275,000 with 5% down, than it was in 1987 purchasing a home for $170,000. adam: about are you seeing a correlation between the fiscal cliff and the chaos we've been reporting on for several months and the drop in mortgage rates? different than the way the federal reserve drives down interest rates? >> well they're going to keep the mortgage rates low as an incentive for buyer, period. but we'll see them tick up a little bit towards the middle and end of 2013 because they have to be able to let people borrow again. borrowing requirements are so tough right now, there are a lot of people that can't borrow. rates will tick up a little bit and requirements wil
FOX Business
Dec 30, 2012 8:00am EST
on the market and it's all related to, not the-- not the fiscal cliff, it's the psychology of the fiscal cliff, and the sad truth is whether they do deal now or they thoughtfullyo a deal six months from now, really, nothing wl be accomplished. he fact is, public debt is consuming our economy. it's about 73%, regardless of what deal gets done. it will be about 73, 74% ten years from now. we've done nothing and nothing will be done to address social security, which is now officially running deficit, medicare, medicaid costs are growing ast nomically. at least do a dumb deal now and get people over theiscal cliff and kick the can down the road, that's going to happen anyway. >> steve, no deal, bad deal? i kind of feel like i'm playing poker. what do you think? >> i can't believe it, but i agree with jim. the most deficit reduction is going to come from no deal. and that's what we need. that's what this economy needs, the biggest threat to economic growth, if the deficit and the debt, 4 trillion, everybody talks about it as somome sort of grand bargain. it's barely a start. this isn't a fiscal cli
FOX Business
Dec 26, 2012 6:00pm EST
, but we are about to go over this fiscal cliff. what do you say? >> of course they blame republicans. that is what people in washington bureau. let's be realistic about this. the president owns the economy at the end of the day, whether he wants to admit it or not. this is his job. i was there in 2003 in the second round of so-called bush tax policies came to the house. the house house wanted $550 billion in cuts. all they could get was $250 billion. it was a compromise. george bush came down and met with our conference and said, you guys thought the good fight, this is what i mean, need, let's go and take what we can get, with a $250 billion and the problem is solved. gerri: i don't see that exactly. [talking over each other] [talking over each other] >> can you imagine? can you imagine lyndon johnson sitting on the sidelines while something like this was going on? gerri: i cannot imagine lyndon johnson going anywhere but washington and sitting there, quite frankly. something that is new out this afternoon, senior administration officials in hawaii, saying that it up the gop. that g
FOX Business
Dec 30, 2012 8:00pm EST
and unable perhaps, for what will ensue of the fiscal cliff. but the fact is that we are looking at a real prospect that the republicans will be held responsible and must plan be actually hashe effect of shifting some of the responbility to the president read what you thinkre the odds? >> i think he will be held responsible for the economy in 2013 and 2014. you cannot blame george w. bush anymore. they conol the senate. it is their economy for sure. so i think that you're going to sea real problem in 2013 and 2014, but i do think it's obama's economy now. the republicans passed the tax cuts for one group, let's say all the wy through, not the very top group, , i don't know where that negotiation is going to come out, but if they do that, i think that they will be held blameless for the economy. lou: as we wrap up here, i would like to ask you a question this way. because i said last year that i felt strongly at the beginning of the campaign. the democrats were the repuican -- the democrats or the republicans, which party led the discussion to the enduring that of the middle class sure enou
FOX Business
Dec 23, 2012 8:00pm EST
, utterly dismissed because of the fiscal cliff. if you will, the boehner back flip on plan b. >> yes. end? lou: what do you think will happen from here? >> we tied to this cliff now. that is all anybody talks about. they are playing it to the 11th hour and 59th minute. the smart guys that i know tell me that it will probably not get done, but then it will be done in the first first second week maximum in jauary. the stock market showed you, just give you a little bit of a taste today about how the stock market feels about it not getting done. lou: as i listen to the president today, and we are told that he will be taking off for hawaii. i mean, his take off was -- i'm sorry? there is the plane. and that, of course, picture being worth 10,000 words. i was about to say, we will wave to the president, which is another obvious given to the fact that air force one is waiting to win its way westward to hawaii. this is not a president to is overwhelmed by his failure to lead on this issue. it doesn't like it is now his issue, does this? i mean, it is over. now harry reid, mr. electric, and mr. o
FOX Business
Dec 31, 2012 3:00pm EST
is the austerity that could have been or might be created by the fiscal cliff. taking money out of the pockets of the taxpayers. and making serious budget cuts at the simultaneous. the result is a serious austerity and buy every economist and author of the economy back into a recession. it's a matter of timing. how do we time the cuts over what amount of time, and then water they going to be? we need to keep in mind that every business, at least that's what i learned at harvard and beyond, you have to make investments. you have to make the proper investment continually. if you do that at think will be in good shape. liz: i get that. just a few seconds left. you can always get what you want. if you had to give up one thing, would you go to 450,000? people have that income. would you say okay? >> if that is part of the deal the answer is, yes, i would. pick a number. keep in mind the need to have the necessary revenues. you get pretty close to the edge where you won't have the revenues necessary, but all the other tax issues, some of which it talked about in the previous segments. liz: democrat
FOX Business
Dec 31, 2012 6:00pm EST
, the fiscal cliff into plain english or maybe just simple arithmetic. at the bottom of the york, what should investors expect? will the fiscal ) as of them? don't go away. ♪ >> my new year's resolution is to keep going with my personal trainer. ♪ gerri: up next, some of those trillion dollar figures into perspective. the spending problem if it were your household budget. next. gerri: there is a reason we call this segment back of the envelope. we try to explain in plain english some of the more complicated financial issues. the big issue today, the fiscal cliff. and you may be asking yourself, why is this so important? what is so cataclysmic about our nation's finances that we need to implement these monster tax increases and make draconian spending cuts. well, if you want to understand the government and its problems, take a look at these numbers. let's start with tax revenue. these are the nation's tax revenues. what you have your is just over 2 trillion in income. that's all it is really. and look at these euros. a very big number. the spending in the federal budget. you will notice t
FOX Business
Dec 31, 2012 4:00pm EST
's face it. we're down to the wire. just hours from falling off the fiscal cliff if no deal is reached. right now a deal does not seem likely. even if they came out said, hey, news flash, it is here. not enough time to vote on it. will u.s. economy fall back into recession? either way what is the smart money doing? where are they investing? joining me now, billionaire investor wilbur ross. ceo and investor. >> you're welcome. >> will there be a deal of any kind and what does it really mean for the markets? >> what i'm worried about they make a deal but won't be a sensible deal. that it will kind of put some sort of a permanent cap as to the level at which the bush tax cuts are repealed, extend for some short period unemployment, extend a few other things and not really with the big issue. punt it over and mix it up with the debt ceiling talks which will be coming up sometime between now and around the end of february. liz: well, yeah. timothy geithner, treasury secretary, warning that we will hit the debt limit today. obviously that is a big issue. is that a bigger problem than the fis
FOX Business
Dec 27, 2012 9:20am EST
, it is discouraging. how do you explain, can you blame it on the fiscal cliff? we see unemployment numbers not breeding -- modeling a long and it is not adding up. that sentiment number should have been higher. a lot of people are saying it is truly recovered. stuart: we are down 4 points. >> doesn't make sense. stuart: president obama back in washington and the senate is back in session. harry reid is addressing the senate. this is days before the fall off of the fiscal cliff. senate democrats are telling republicans get out of the way of a last-minute deal, accept tax increases for people making $250,000 a year. get out of the way. accept that. joining us is the founder of the media research center. blame if problem is spending and neither side is being serious about spending. neither side is. stuart: when you put your finger on it. they are politicians, are they not? they have to have in the back of their mind, they are politicians. they have to bear in mind the next election can they get reelected? can any politician get reelected by saying i am going to cut entitlements, cut spending?
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